Wednesday , October 27 2021

Exit polls are not always accurate

New Delhi/Kolkata, May 20 (Udaipur Kiran): Exit polls are hardly realistic as there is no scientific method to sense the mood of the voter and Indian voters are capable of throwing up surprises.

While exit polls have gone horribly wrong in the past – both in terms of predicting seats and in extreme cases they have got the winners wrong – the release of numbers is a national spectacle that is broadcast live on prime time television.

Law Kumar Mishra, Patna-based senior journalist is of the view that psephologists/pollsters/exit/opinion merchants of elections can’t be fully trusted as they are hired and sponsored agents of parties contesting the elections. It is a multi crore scam.

“Rather have faith on the common sense of common people – milkmen, vegetables vendors, street sweepers, rickshaw pullers, chai walahs as they are not paid by the candidates and the parties. You will get fair idea/figures/marks of the candidates and the parties,” he opined.

He has a word of caution to reject the planted guess works by known/unknown “experts” on Facebook, WhatsApp or mails. He even appealed to reject “planted” and in some cases “transplanted” items by the traders in elections.

Ram Bahdur Rai, a Delhi-based senior journalist, has said that most pollsters and political observers agree that the ruling National Democratic Alliance – of which BJP is the leading partner – will emerge victorious with a thumping margin.

Modi’s NDA has an edge as it is likely to be the largest coalition and the BJP has the organisational muscle to get to the majority mark with the support from non-NDA parties, Rai added.

However, Prime Minister Narendra Modi appeared confident of a decisive verdict and his colleague Amit Shah is also optimistic that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will cross 300 on its own, 18 more than it won in 2014 in a house of 543 in Parliament.

Mamata rules out BJPs winning prospect

According to HS Kolkata Correspondent, West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee has categorically ruled the ‘Exit Poll Gossip’ about the possible results of the Lok Sabha elections and urged the opposition ‘Mahajot’ to remain ‘united, strong and bold’ to fight the battle together.

Showing a clear sense of frustration at all Exit Poll results, the Chief Minister, in a twitter message said that ‘I do not trust Exit Poll gossip. The gameplan is to manipulate or replace thousands of EVMs through this gossip. I appeal to all opposition parties to be united, strong and bold. We will fight this battle together’.

She also blamed BJP for allegedly preparing a gameplan to undermine all oppositions in the country and create a situation which would look like that BJP under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi would sweep the nation once again. ‘This is not true’, she said and like before once again claimed that BJP would loose this elections hands down to make way to a United Opposition to form the next government.

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