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Exit Polls predict return of BJP-led National Democratic Alliance

A quick glance at the exit polls statistics make NDA overwhelming favourite to retain power in Delhi.  Almost all the channels have given a clean majority to the BJP and its allies.

Republic TV commissioned 2 exit polls and both of them have shown NDA way ahead of the UPA.  C voter has given NDA 287 seats, while UPA is ahead in 128 seats. Others have got 127 seats. The other agency Jan ki Baat has given NDA a range of 305, while UPA can get anything between 124 while others will get 113 seats.

The two exit polls telecast by Times Now gave the NDA 306 seats, while they projected 132 for the Congress-led UPA and 104 for others.

News 24’s exit poll, done by today’s chanakya has given NDA a tally of 350 with a range of 14 seats either way, UPA is seen getting 95 seats with a margin of 9 seats plus or minus while others are getting 97 + 0r – 11 seats.

The hindi news channel ABP news has given NDA 277 seats, while it has pegged the UPA tally at 130 and other are getting 135 seats.

India Today group has given NDA 339- 365 seats, UPA has got a range of 77-108 and others between 69-95.

India TV’s exit poll is giving NDA 300 seats , UPA 120 and others 122 seats.   India News is giving NDA 287 seats, UPA 128 and others 127 seats.  News 18 has given NDA 336 seats, UPA 82 and others 124 seats.

Elections to 542 seats of the Lok Sabha ended Sunday. The majority mark is 272. The counting of votes will take place on May 23

Exit polls were divided in their prediction for the politically most crucial state of Uttar Pradesh.

Times Now-VMR exit polls show 55 for BJP and its ally and 23 for Mahagatbandhan and Congress two.The CVoter-Republic forecast gave the grand alliance in UP 40 seats against 38 for the NDA, while the Jan Ki Baat said the NDA may win 46-57 seats against 15-29 of the SP-BSP combine.

Some exit polls predicted that the SP-BSP alliance is likely to trump the BJP in Uttar Pradesh. ABP News predicted a huge loss for the BJP in the state, saying it may get only 29 seats while the opposition alliance may emerge victorious in 47 constituencies.

According to Poll of Polls – the BJP-led NDA, which had won 73 seats in 2014, is now likely to make it to 44 and 34 for BSP-SP-RLD Mahagatbandhan.

A few other polls like New 18-Ipsos and News 24-Chanakya have predicted NDA’s tally over 60 seats. The BJP had won 71 and its ally Apna Dal two of its 80 seats in 2014.

Talking about West Bengal the state which was in news for the campaign period for intense clashes, verbal and physical , between Trinamool congress and BJP is also a matter of much debate.

On West Bengal’s 42 seats, CVoter-Republic and ABP respectively gave 11 and 16 to the BJP, a big improvement on its tally of two in 2014. They are giving 29 and 24 to TMC respectively.

The Republic TV Jan ki Baat exit poll gives BJP win in 18-26 seats while Trinamool Congress could make it only in 13-21 seats.

Times Now-VMR gives BJP 11 seats and predicts 28 seats for Mamata Banerjee-led outfit while two for Congress and one Left.

The India News-Polstrat gives BJP 14 seats and says Trinamool could win in 26 seats out of 42.

Other state where BJP seems to be gaining immensly is Odisha. CNN IBN-IPSOS has given NDA a range of 6-8 seats, while it is giving Biju Janta Dal 12-14 seats. 
News 24-Chanakya has given  BJP: 14 (+/- 3) while BJD’s tallyis at 07.

India Today-Axis poll is giving NDA between 15-19 seats, while it gives 2-6 seats to the BJD. 

Republic TV-Jan ki baat is giving 12 seats to BJP and 8 to the BJD.

ABP-AC Nielsen is giving 12 to BJD and 9 to BJP while Times Now-VMR exit poll is giving BJP 12 and BJD 8 seats. BJP had won only one in 2014.

According to surveys, BJP seems to have regained lost ground in three crucial Hindi heartland states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh as well which the party had lost in December 2018 assembly polls to the Congress.

The BJP is ecstatic with the exit poll indications and has reaffirmed its own assessment that the party is retaining power. BJP exuded confidence that the results on 23rd will present an even better tally for NDA.

Meanwhile, the Congress has rejected the exit polls, questioning their authenticity and track record in the past. Punjab Chief Minister Captain Amrinder Singh outrightly dismissed the exit polls.

On the other hand, AAP leader Sanjay Singh claimed that the results on 23rd will prove the exit polls wrong and an entirely new picture will emerge on Thursday.

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